Season 2025

Michigan

Record 7-2

ground-ledboom-or-bust1 won ugly2 lost ugly

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Net success rate

+1.9pp

Adj net success rate

+1.6pp

Per-play advantage

+15.8pp

Standard downs control

+3.2pp

Passing NSR

-3.4pp

Rushing NSR

+6.2pp

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Adj NSR: Success-rate edge after tempo and opponent adjustments.PPA diff: Explosiveness margin using predicted points added (PPA).Std ctrl: Owning the easy downs — success + explosiveness on standard downs.

Power ratings & disruption

Sourced from SP+, ESPN FPI, Elo, and game havoc tracking

SP+ rank

#21

Off SP+ rank

#41

Def SP+ rank

SP+ special teams

-0.3

FPI resume rank

#19

Elo rating

1,809

Off havoc rate

11.3%

Def havoc rate

18.0%

Control vs Chaos

Boom-or-bust profile; explosive spike vs Oklahoma (Wk 2)

Season trajectory

Passing NSR

Rushing NSR

Top efficiency wins

Week 3 vs Central Michigan

63-3 (W)

Adj NSR +30.8pp

PPA diff +64.3pp

NSR +30.8pp

TPI rank —

Week 6 vs Wisconsin

24-10 (W)

Adj NSR +16.1pp

PPA diff +27.7pp

NSR +16.1pp

TPI rank —

Week 10 vs Purdue

21-16 (W)

Adj NSR +5.9pp

PPA diff +25.6pp

NSR +5.9pp

TPI rank —

Top efficiency losses

Week 2 vs Oklahoma

13-24 (L)

Adj NSR -24.9pp

PPA diff -17.9pp

NSR -20.9pp

TPI rank 9

Week 7 vs USC

13-31 (L)

Adj NSR -17.7pp

PPA diff -20.1pp

NSR -17.2pp

TPI rank 11

Weekly breakdown

Week 1 • regular

vs New Mexico (34-17)

Net success rate+5.4pp

Adj NSR

+5.4pp

PPA diff

+43.6pp

Explosive tilt

+48.1pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 2 • regular

vs Oklahoma (13-24)

Net success rate-20.9pp

Adj NSR

-24.9pp

PPA diff

-17.9pp

Explosive tilt

+55.6pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 3 • regular

vs Central Michigan (63-3)

Net success rate+30.8pp

Adj NSR

+30.8pp

PPA diff

+64.3pp

Explosive tilt

+55.0pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 4 • regular

vs Nebraska (30-27)

won ugly

Net success rate-3.7pp

Adj NSR

-3.7pp

PPA diff

+6.4pp

Explosive tilt

+37.8pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 6 • regular

vs Wisconsin (24-10)

Net success rate+16.1pp

Adj NSR

+16.1pp

PPA diff

+27.7pp

Explosive tilt

+10.6pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 7 • regular

vs USC (13-31)

Net success rate-17.2pp

Adj NSR

-17.7pp

PPA diff

-20.1pp

Explosive tilt

-0.8pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 8 • regular

vs Washington (24-7)

Net success rate+1.6pp

Adj NSR

+3.1pp

PPA diff

+16.6pp

Explosive tilt

+10.2pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 9 • regular

vs Michigan State (31-20)

Net success rate+4.7pp

Adj NSR

+4.7pp

PPA diff

+7.0pp

Explosive tilt

-13.7pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 10 • regular

vs Purdue (21-16)

Net success rate+5.9pp

Adj NSR

+5.9pp

PPA diff

+25.6pp

Explosive tilt

-1.4pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge