Season 2025

Michigan

Record 9-2

ground-ledcomplete performance1 won ugly2 lost ugly

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Net success rate

+6.6pp

Adj net success rate

+6.8pp

Per-play advantage

+15.5pp

Standard downs control

+6.9pp

Passing NSR

+1.3pp

Rushing NSR

+12.1pp

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Adj NSR: Success-rate edge after tempo and opponent adjustments.PPA diff: Explosiveness margin using predicted points added (PPA).Std ctrl: Owning the easy downs — success + explosiveness on standard downs.

Power ratings & disruption

Sourced from SP+, ESPN FPI, Elo, and game havoc tracking

SP+ rank

#26

Off SP+ rank

#50

Def SP+ rank

#15

SP+ special teams

-1.4

FPI resume rank

#20

Elo rating

1,786

Off havoc rate

11.7%

Def havoc rate

17.0%

Control vs Chaos

Complete performance profile; explosive spike vs Oklahoma (Wk 2)

Season trajectory

Passing NSR

Rushing NSR

Top efficiency wins

Week 3 vs Central Michigan

63-3 (W)

Adj NSR +30.8pp

PPA diff +64.3pp

NSR +30.8pp

TPI rank —

Week 12 vs Northwestern

24-22 (W)

Adj NSR +24.5pp

PPA diff +13.0pp

NSR +24.5pp

TPI rank —

Week 13 vs Maryland

45-20 (W)

Adj NSR +23.5pp

PPA diff +21.4pp

NSR +23.5pp

TPI rank —

Top efficiency losses

Week 2 vs Oklahoma

13-24 (L)

Adj NSR -18.7pp

PPA diff -17.9pp

NSR -20.9pp

TPI rank 13

Week 7 vs USC

13-31 (L)

Adj NSR -17.2pp

PPA diff -20.1pp

NSR -17.2pp

TPI rank —

Weekly breakdown

Week 1 • regular

vs New Mexico (34-17)

Net success rate+5.4pp

Adj NSR

+5.4pp

PPA diff

+43.6pp

Explosive tilt

+48.1pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 2 • regular

vs Oklahoma (13-24)

Net success rate-20.9pp

Adj NSR

-18.7pp

PPA diff

-17.9pp

Explosive tilt

+55.6pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 3 • regular

vs Central Michigan (63-3)

Net success rate+30.8pp

Adj NSR

+30.8pp

PPA diff

+64.3pp

Explosive tilt

+55.0pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 4 • regular

vs Nebraska (30-27)

won ugly

Net success rate-3.7pp

Adj NSR

-3.7pp

PPA diff

+6.4pp

Explosive tilt

+37.8pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 6 • regular

vs Wisconsin (24-10)

Net success rate+16.1pp

Adj NSR

+16.1pp

PPA diff

+27.7pp

Explosive tilt

+10.6pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 7 • regular

vs USC (13-31)

Net success rate-17.2pp

Adj NSR

-17.2pp

PPA diff

-20.1pp

Explosive tilt

-0.8pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 8 • regular

vs Washington (24-7)

Net success rate+1.6pp

Adj NSR

+1.6pp

PPA diff

+16.6pp

Explosive tilt

+10.2pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 9 • regular

vs Michigan State (31-20)

Net success rate+5.2pp

Adj NSR

+5.2pp

PPA diff

+7.7pp

Explosive tilt

-13.7pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 10 • regular

vs Purdue (21-16)

Net success rate+5.9pp

Adj NSR

+5.9pp

PPA diff

+20.1pp

Explosive tilt

-1.4pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 12 • regular

vs Northwestern (24-22)

Net success rate+24.5pp

Adj NSR

+24.5pp

PPA diff

+13.0pp

Explosive tilt

-19.7pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 13 • regular

vs Maryland (45-20)

Net success rate+23.5pp

Adj NSR

+23.5pp

PPA diff

+21.4pp

Explosive tilt

-42.2pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge