Season 2025

TCU

Record 6-2

balancedcomplete performance2 won ugly1 lost pretty1 lost ugly

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Net success rate

+4.8pp

Adj net success rate

+4.8pp

Per-play advantage

+8.1pp

Standard downs control

+8.0pp

Passing NSR

+3.6pp

Rushing NSR

+6.9pp

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Adj NSR: Success-rate edge after tempo and opponent adjustments.PPA diff: Explosiveness margin using predicted points added (PPA).Std ctrl: Owning the easy downs — success + explosiveness on standard downs.

Power ratings & disruption

Sourced from SP+, ESPN FPI, Elo, and game havoc tracking

SP+ rank

#35

Off SP+ rank

#29

Def SP+ rank

#48

SP+ special teams

-0.1

FPI resume rank

#29

Elo rating

1,700

Off havoc rate

16.0%

Def havoc rate

17.2%

Control vs Chaos

Complete performance most weeks; explosive spike vs SMU (Wk 4)

Season trajectory

Passing NSR

Rushing NSR

Top efficiency wins

Week 1 vs North Carolina

48-14 (W)

Adj NSR +27.4pp

PPA diff +46.7pp

NSR +27.4pp

TPI rank —

Week 6 vs Colorado

35-21 (W)

Adj NSR +8.7pp

PPA diff +12.3pp

NSR +8.7pp

TPI rank —

Week 8 vs Baylor

42-36 (W)

Adj NSR +7.8pp

PPA diff +4.9pp

NSR +7.8pp

TPI rank —

Top efficiency losses

Week 5 vs Arizona State

24-27 (L)

Adj NSR -5.5pp

PPA diff -6.6pp

NSR -5.5pp

TPI rank —

Week 7 vs Kansas State

28-41 (L)

Adj NSR +5.5pp

PPA diff -2.8pp

NSR +5.5pp

TPI rank —

Weekly breakdown

Week 1 • regular

vs North Carolina (48-14)

Net success rate+27.4pp

Adj NSR

+27.4pp

PPA diff

+46.7pp

Explosive tilt

-41.2pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 3 • regular

vs Abilene Christian (42-21)

Net success rate+6.4pp

Adj NSR

+6.4pp

PPA diff

+20.9pp

Explosive tilt

-3.8pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 4 • regular

vs SMU (35-24)

won ugly

Net success rate-2.6pp

Adj NSR

-2.6pp

PPA diff

+1.6pp

Explosive tilt

+40.0pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 5 • regular

vs Arizona State (24-27)

Net success rate-5.5pp

Adj NSR

-5.5pp

PPA diff

-6.6pp

Explosive tilt

+29.1pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 6 • regular

vs Colorado (35-21)

Net success rate+8.7pp

Adj NSR

+8.7pp

PPA diff

+12.3pp

Explosive tilt

-19.4pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 7 • regular

vs Kansas State (28-41)

lost pretty

Net success rate+5.5pp

Adj NSR

+5.5pp

PPA diff

-2.8pp

Explosive tilt

+12.4pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 8 • regular

vs Baylor (42-36)

Net success rate+7.8pp

Adj NSR

+7.8pp

PPA diff

+4.9pp

Explosive tilt

-8.4pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 9 • regular

vs West Virginia (23-17)

won ugly

Net success rate-3.2pp

Adj NSR

-3.2pp

PPA diff

-0.8pp

Explosive tilt

+20.4pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge