Season 2025

UNLV

Record 6-2

balancedsmothered1 won ugly1 lost pretty1 lost ugly

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Net success rate

+1.5pp

Adj net success rate

+1.5pp

Per-play advantage

-2.4pp

Standard downs control

-0.2pp

Passing NSR

+1.8pp

Rushing NSR

+0.3pp

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Adj NSR: Success-rate edge after tempo and opponent adjustments.PPA diff: Explosiveness margin using predicted points added (PPA).Std ctrl: Owning the easy downs — success + explosiveness on standard downs.

Power ratings & disruption

Sourced from SP+, ESPN FPI, Elo, and game havoc tracking

SP+ rank

#71

Off SP+ rank

#28

Def SP+ rank

#122

SP+ special teams

+0.3

FPI resume rank

#76

Elo rating

1,549

Off havoc rate

15.9%

Def havoc rate

15.7%

Control vs Chaos

Smothered profile; explosive spike vs Air Force (Wk 7)

Season trajectory

Passing NSR

Rushing NSR

Top efficiency wins

Week 6 vs Wyoming

31-17 (W)

Adj NSR +4.3pp

PPA diff +11.9pp

NSR +4.3pp

TPI rank —

Week 1 vs Sam Houston

38-21 (W)

Adj NSR +4.1pp

PPA diff +29.1pp

NSR +4.1pp

TPI rank —

Week 4 vs Miami (OH)

41-38 (W)

Adj NSR +3.0pp

PPA diff +18.5pp

NSR +3.0pp

TPI rank —

Top efficiency losses

Week 8 vs Boise State

31-56 (L)

Adj NSR -2.3pp

PPA diff -65.7pp

NSR -2.3pp

TPI rank —

Week 10 vs New Mexico

35-40 (L)

Adj NSR +1.6pp

PPA diff -42.2pp

NSR +1.6pp

TPI rank —

Weekly breakdown

Week 1 • regular

vs Sam Houston (38-21)

Net success rate+4.1pp

Adj NSR

+4.1pp

PPA diff

+29.1pp

Explosive tilt

+8.2pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 1 • regular

vs Idaho State (38-31)

Net success rate+2.4pp

Adj NSR

+2.4pp

PPA diff

+11.8pp

Explosive tilt

-28.8pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 2 • regular

vs UCLA (30-23)

Net success rate+2.4pp

Adj NSR

+2.4pp

PPA diff

+8.0pp

Explosive tilt

-7.4pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 4 • regular

vs Miami (OH) (41-38)

Net success rate+3.0pp

Adj NSR

+3.0pp

PPA diff

+18.5pp

Explosive tilt

-4.8pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 6 • regular

vs Wyoming (31-17)

Net success rate+4.3pp

Adj NSR

+4.3pp

PPA diff

+11.9pp

Explosive tilt

-15.1pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 7 • regular

vs Air Force (51-48)

won ugly

Net success rate-4.2pp

Adj NSR

-4.2pp

PPA diff

+15.8pp

Explosive tilt

+47.0pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 8 • regular

vs Boise State (31-56)

Net success rate-2.3pp

Adj NSR

-2.3pp

PPA diff

-65.7pp

Explosive tilt

-76.6pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 10 • regular

vs New Mexico (35-40)

lost pretty

Net success rate+1.6pp

Adj NSR

+1.6pp

PPA diff

-42.2pp

Explosive tilt

-109.6pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge