Season 2025

Cincinnati

Record 7-2

balancedcomplete performance1 won ugly1 lost pretty1 lost ugly

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Net success rate

+6.4pp

Adj net success rate

+6.0pp

Per-play advantage

+14.4pp

Standard downs control

+5.5pp

Passing NSR

+4.9pp

Rushing NSR

+9.0pp

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Adj NSR: Success-rate edge after tempo and opponent adjustments.PPA diff: Explosiveness margin using predicted points added (PPA).Std ctrl: Owning the easy downs — success + explosiveness on standard downs.

Power ratings & disruption

Sourced from SP+, ESPN FPI, Elo, and game havoc tracking

SP+ rank

#32

Off SP+ rank

#26

Def SP+ rank

#53

SP+ special teams

+0.4

FPI resume rank

#35

Elo rating

1,590

Off havoc rate

12.4%

Def havoc rate

14.4%

Control vs Chaos

Complete performance profile; explosive spike vs Northwestern State (Wk 3)

Season trajectory

Passing NSR

Rushing NSR

Top efficiency wins

Week 3 vs Northwestern State

70-0 (W)

Adj NSR +51.4pp

PPA diff +119.3pp

NSR +51.4pp

TPI rank —

Week 8 vs Oklahoma State

49-17 (W)

Adj NSR +10.7pp

PPA diff +53.3pp

NSR +10.7pp

TPI rank —

Week 9 vs Baylor

41-20 (W)

Adj NSR +10.0pp

PPA diff +1.4pp

NSR +10.0pp

TPI rank —

Top efficiency losses

Week 10 vs Utah

14-45 (L)

Adj NSR -2.0pp

PPA diff -5.5pp

NSR +1.2pp

TPI rank 8

Week 1 vs Nebraska

17-20 (L)

Adj NSR +5.2pp

PPA diff +4.2pp

NSR +5.2pp

TPI rank —

Weekly breakdown

Week 1 • regular

vs Nebraska (17-20)

lost pretty

Net success rate+5.2pp

Adj NSR

+5.2pp

PPA diff

+4.2pp

Explosive tilt

-6.6pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 2 • regular

vs Bowling Green (34-20)

Net success rate+2.4pp

Adj NSR

+2.4pp

PPA diff

+27.8pp

Explosive tilt

+31.4pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 3 • regular

vs Northwestern State (70-0)

Net success rate+51.4pp

Adj NSR

+51.4pp

PPA diff

+119.3pp

Explosive tilt

+68.1pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 5 • regular

vs Kansas (37-34)

won ugly

Net success rate-3.7pp

Adj NSR

-3.7pp

PPA diff

-15.6pp

Explosive tilt

-23.6pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 6 • regular

vs Iowa State (38-30)

Net success rate+7.1pp

Adj NSR

+7.1pp

PPA diff

+19.0pp

Explosive tilt

+15.3pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 7 • regular

vs UCF (20-11)

Net success rate+2.1pp

Adj NSR

+2.1pp

PPA diff

+3.1pp

Explosive tilt

+7.9pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 8 • regular

vs Oklahoma State (49-17)

Net success rate+10.7pp

Adj NSR

+10.7pp

PPA diff

+53.3pp

Explosive tilt

+31.3pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 9 • regular

vs Baylor (41-20)

Net success rate+10.0pp

Adj NSR

+10.0pp

PPA diff

+1.4pp

Explosive tilt

-30.2pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 10 • regular

vs Utah (14-45)

Net success rate+1.2pp

Adj NSR

-2.0pp

PPA diff

-5.5pp

Explosive tilt

+39.2pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge