Season 2025

San Diego State

Record 7-1

balancedmethodical control1 lost ugly

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Net success rate

+17.5pp

Adj net success rate

+17.5pp

Per-play advantage

+30.7pp

Standard downs control

+18.9pp

Passing NSR

+16.9pp

Rushing NSR

+19.8pp

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Adj NSR: Success-rate edge after tempo and opponent adjustments.PPA diff: Explosiveness margin using predicted points added (PPA).Std ctrl: Owning the easy downs — success + explosiveness on standard downs.

Power ratings & disruption

Sourced from SP+, ESPN FPI, Elo, and game havoc tracking

SP+ rank

#43

Off SP+ rank

#81

Def SP+ rank

#13

SP+ special teams

+0.5

FPI resume rank

#59

Elo rating

1,601

Off havoc rate

13.8%

Def havoc rate

16.6%

Control vs Chaos

Methodical control most weeks; explosive spike vs Stony Brook (Wk 1)

Season trajectory

Passing NSR

Rushing NSR

Top efficiency wins

Week 7 vs Nevada

44-10 (W)

Adj NSR +49.7pp

PPA diff +98.9pp

NSR +49.7pp

TPI rank —

Week 9 vs Fresno State

23-0 (W)

Adj NSR +33.4pp

PPA diff +49.3pp

NSR +33.4pp

TPI rank —

Week 1 vs Stony Brook

42-0 (W)

Adj NSR +25.0pp

PPA diff +42.9pp

NSR +25.0pp

TPI rank —

Top efficiency losses

Week 2 vs Washington State

13-36 (L)

Adj NSR -5.7pp

PPA diff -11.1pp

NSR -5.7pp

TPI rank —

Weekly breakdown

Week 1 • regular

vs Stony Brook (42-0)

Net success rate+25.0pp

Adj NSR

+25.0pp

PPA diff

+42.9pp

Explosive tilt

+31.0pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 2 • regular

vs Washington State (13-36)

Net success rate-5.7pp

Adj NSR

-5.7pp

PPA diff

-11.1pp

Explosive tilt

+18.8pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 4 • regular

vs California (34-0)

Net success rate+10.0pp

Adj NSR

+10.0pp

PPA diff

+46.2pp

Explosive tilt

-42.9pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 5 • regular

vs Northern Illinois (6-3)

Net success rate+8.8pp

Adj NSR

+8.8pp

PPA diff

+7.5pp

Explosive tilt

+4.8pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 6 • regular

vs Colorado State (45-24)

Net success rate+17.3pp

Adj NSR

+17.3pp

PPA diff

+27.4pp

Explosive tilt

-25.6pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 7 • regular

vs Nevada (44-10)

Net success rate+49.7pp

Adj NSR

+49.7pp

PPA diff

+98.9pp

Explosive tilt

-50.4pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 9 • regular

vs Fresno State (23-0)

Net success rate+33.4pp

Adj NSR

+33.4pp

PPA diff

+49.3pp

Explosive tilt

-7.4pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 10 • regular

vs Wyoming (24-7)

Net success rate+13.0pp

Adj NSR

+13.0pp

PPA diff

+24.5pp

Explosive tilt

-1.2pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge