Season 2025

Louisville

Record 7-1

balancedcomplete performance2 won ugly1 lost pretty

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Net success rate

+11.2pp

Adj net success rate

+10.5pp

Per-play advantage

+15.4pp

Standard downs control

+9.7pp

Passing NSR

+11.0pp

Rushing NSR

+14.7pp

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Adj NSR: Success-rate edge after tempo and opponent adjustments.PPA diff: Explosiveness margin using predicted points added (PPA).Std ctrl: Owning the easy downs — success + explosiveness on standard downs.

Power ratings & disruption

Sourced from SP+, ESPN FPI, Elo, and game havoc tracking

SP+ rank

#23

Off SP+ rank

#35

Def SP+ rank

#22

SP+ special teams

+0.0

FPI resume rank

#26

Elo rating

1,737

Off havoc rate

15.9%

Def havoc rate

17.6%

Control vs Chaos

Complete performance profile; explosive spike vs James Madison (Wk 2)

Season trajectory

Passing NSR

Rushing NSR

Top efficiency wins

Week 1 vs Eastern Kentucky

51-17 (W)

Adj NSR +58.8pp

PPA diff +84.2pp

NSR +58.8pp

TPI rank —

Week 4 vs Bowling Green

40-17 (W)

Adj NSR +17.2pp

PPA diff +41.5pp

NSR +17.2pp

TPI rank —

Week 10 vs Virginia Tech

28-16 (W)

Adj NSR +15.3pp

PPA diff +12.0pp

NSR +15.3pp

TPI rank —

Top efficiency losses

Week 6 vs Virginia

27-30 (L)

Adj NSR +22.2pp

PPA diff +10.8pp

NSR +18.3pp

TPI rank 26

Weekly breakdown

Week 1 • regular

vs Eastern Kentucky (51-17)

Net success rate+58.8pp

Adj NSR

+58.8pp

PPA diff

+84.2pp

Explosive tilt

-65.0pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 2 • regular

vs James Madison (28-14)

won ugly

Net success rate-12.0pp

Adj NSR

-19.3pp

PPA diff

+11.9pp

Explosive tilt

+76.0pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 4 • regular

vs Bowling Green (40-17)

Net success rate+17.2pp

Adj NSR

+17.2pp

PPA diff

+41.5pp

Explosive tilt

-5.8pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 5 • regular

vs Pittsburgh (34-27)

Net success rate+6.0pp

Adj NSR

+5.9pp

PPA diff

+0.7pp

Explosive tilt

+5.6pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 6 • regular

vs Virginia (27-30)

lost pretty

Net success rate+18.3pp

Adj NSR

+22.2pp

PPA diff

+10.8pp

Explosive tilt

-60.3pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 8 • regular

vs Miami (24-21)

won ugly

Net success rate+2.6pp

Adj NSR

-0.3pp

PPA diff

-4.1pp

Explosive tilt

-3.7pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 9 • regular

vs Boston College (38-24)

Net success rate+0.4pp

Adj NSR

+0.4pp

PPA diff

+8.8pp

Explosive tilt

+45.5pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 10 • regular

vs Virginia Tech (28-16)

Net success rate+15.3pp

Adj NSR

+15.3pp

PPA diff

+12.0pp

Explosive tilt

+45.9pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge