Season 2025

USC

Record 6-2

balancedcomplete performance1 lost pretty1 lost ugly

← Back to leaderboard

Net success rate

+10.9pp

Adj net success rate

+12.1pp

Per-play advantage

+30.3pp

Standard downs control

+9.3pp

Passing NSR

+13.0pp

Rushing NSR

+8.0pp

Need the glossary?

Hover any label for a quick explainer or pop open the glossary drawer to dive deeper into the CFP metrics toolkit.

Adj NSR: Success-rate edge after tempo and opponent adjustments.PPA diff: Explosiveness margin using predicted points added (PPA).Std ctrl: Owning the easy downs — success + explosiveness on standard downs.

Power ratings & disruption

Sourced from SP+, ESPN FPI, Elo, and game havoc tracking

SP+ rank

#12

Off SP+ rank

Def SP+ rank

#43

SP+ special teams

+0.4

FPI resume rank

#10

Elo rating

1,897

Off havoc rate

12.5%

Def havoc rate

17.6%

Control vs Chaos

Complete performance most weeks; explosive spike vs Notre Dame (Wk 8)

Season trajectory

Passing NSR

Rushing NSR

Top efficiency wins

Week 1 vs Missouri State

73-13 (W)

Adj NSR +50.1pp

PPA diff +104.2pp

NSR +50.1pp

TPI rank —

Week 2 vs Georgia Southern

59-20 (W)

Adj NSR +33.0pp

PPA diff +80.3pp

NSR +33.0pp

TPI rank —

Week 7 vs Michigan

31-13 (W)

Adj NSR +25.8pp

PPA diff +20.1pp

NSR +17.2pp

TPI rank 30

Top efficiency losses

Week 8 vs Notre Dame

24-34 (L)

Adj NSR -15.3pp

PPA diff -10.9pp

NSR -16.0pp

TPI rank 20

Week 5 vs Illinois

32-34 (L)

Adj NSR +2.5pp

PPA diff +8.3pp

NSR +2.5pp

TPI rank —

Weekly breakdown

Week 1 • regular

vs Missouri State (73-13)

Net success rate+50.1pp

Adj NSR

+50.1pp

PPA diff

+104.2pp

Explosive tilt

-79.1pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 2 • regular

vs Georgia Southern (59-20)

Net success rate+33.0pp

Adj NSR

+33.0pp

PPA diff

+80.3pp

Explosive tilt

+10.4pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 3 • regular

vs Purdue (33-17)

Net success rate+6.8pp

Adj NSR

+6.8pp

PPA diff

+42.8pp

Explosive tilt

-22.1pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 4 • regular

vs Michigan State (45-31)

Net success rate+14.3pp

Adj NSR

+14.3pp

PPA diff

+27.6pp

Explosive tilt

+4.7pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 5 • regular

vs Illinois (32-34)

lost pretty

Net success rate+2.5pp

Adj NSR

+2.5pp

PPA diff

+8.3pp

Explosive tilt

-14.1pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 7 • regular

vs Michigan (31-13)

Net success rate+17.2pp

Adj NSR

+25.8pp

PPA diff

+20.1pp

Explosive tilt

+0.8pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 8 • regular

vs Notre Dame (24-34)

Net success rate-16.0pp

Adj NSR

-15.3pp

PPA diff

-10.9pp

Explosive tilt

+63.6pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 10 • regular

vs Nebraska (21-17)

Net success rate+0.7pp

Adj NSR

+0.7pp

PPA diff

+11.3pp

Explosive tilt

+37.9pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge