Season 2025

Memphis

Record 8-1

ground-ledmethodical control2 won ugly1 lost pretty

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Net success rate

+9.6pp

Adj net success rate

+9.6pp

Per-play advantage

+15.2pp

Standard downs control

+9.5pp

Passing NSR

+4.5pp

Rushing NSR

+12.7pp

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Adj NSR: Success-rate edge after tempo and opponent adjustments.PPA diff: Explosiveness margin using predicted points added (PPA).Std ctrl: Owning the easy downs — success + explosiveness on standard downs.

Power ratings & disruption

Sourced from SP+, ESPN FPI, Elo, and game havoc tracking

SP+ rank

#29

Off SP+ rank

#13

Def SP+ rank

#61

SP+ special teams

+0.4

FPI resume rank

#42

Elo rating

1,689

Off havoc rate

13.4%

Def havoc rate

20.3%

Control vs Chaos

Methodical control most weeks; explosive spike vs Rice (Wk 10)

Season trajectory

Passing NSR

Rushing NSR

Top efficiency wins

Week 1 vs Chattanooga

45-10 (W)

Adj NSR +27.7pp

PPA diff +66.8pp

NSR +27.7pp

TPI rank —

Week 6 vs Tulsa

45-7 (W)

Adj NSR +27.6pp

PPA diff +22.5pp

NSR +27.6pp

TPI rank —

Week 10 vs Rice

38-14 (W)

Adj NSR +20.7pp

PPA diff +13.6pp

NSR +20.7pp

TPI rank —

Top efficiency losses

Week 8 vs UAB

24-31 (L)

Adj NSR +3.6pp

PPA diff -15.4pp

NSR +3.6pp

TPI rank —

Weekly breakdown

Week 1 • regular

vs Chattanooga (45-10)

Net success rate+27.7pp

Adj NSR

+27.7pp

PPA diff

+66.8pp

Explosive tilt

-9.7pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 2 • regular

vs Georgia State (38-16)

Net success rate+3.5pp

Adj NSR

+3.5pp

PPA diff

+14.7pp

Explosive tilt

-10.4pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 3 • regular

vs Troy (28-7)

Net success rate+19.6pp

Adj NSR

+19.6pp

PPA diff

+31.7pp

Explosive tilt

+22.7pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 4 • regular

vs Arkansas (32-31)

won ugly

Net success rate-6.9pp

Adj NSR

-6.9pp

PPA diff

+12.4pp

Explosive tilt

+31.1pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 5 • regular

vs Florida Atlantic (55-26)

Net success rate+5.6pp

Adj NSR

+5.6pp

PPA diff

+17.1pp

Explosive tilt

+32.5pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 6 • regular

vs Tulsa (45-7)

Net success rate+27.6pp

Adj NSR

+27.6pp

PPA diff

+22.5pp

Explosive tilt

-35.0pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 8 • regular

vs UAB (24-31)

lost pretty

Net success rate+3.6pp

Adj NSR

+3.6pp

PPA diff

-15.4pp

Explosive tilt

-14.0pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 9 • regular

vs South Florida (34-31)

won ugly

Net success rate-2.5pp

Adj NSR

-2.5pp

PPA diff

-10.1pp

Explosive tilt

-13.5pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge

Week 10 • regular

vs Rice (38-14)

Net success rate+20.7pp

Adj NSR

+20.7pp

PPA diff

+13.6pp

Explosive tilt

+41.8pp

Line yards edge

Stuff edge

Power success edge